Friday, September 19, 2014
Trend or anomaly
I'm curious to know what you all you think.....a decade ago coaches that transitted from the college ranks into the pro's did horrible...(spurrier, carroll stint #1, etc) with a small percentage doing really well (j johnson unfortunately). But recently I feel that most are having moderate to good and even great seasons. I see this more coming from the Pac-12 coaches (kelley, harbaugh, carroll, and even ron rivera with his connection to usc). My question is if this is the new wave of coaches into the pro ranks or if it's gong to dive back to coordinators etc in the pro's being recycled over and over again? And also if you think this is because of the new spread offense being used by college teams, now being implemented by many of the pro teams? I go back to my other postelation (<----- word?) and the pro teams and coaches and coordinators that just seem to be recycled despite few seasons of success and many of underperforming and lackluster. How many freakin' years was jim fassell in the pro's and what the hell did he accomplish? Also....one more observation and it goes back to the pac-12 coaches...the pac-12 is a very innovative conference with many non traditional offenses being run....when coaches from other conferences come into the pro's they seem to have a lot of 8-8 seasons and than go back or become a coordinator. But just look at these recent pac-12 coaches and their success in the pro's (Carroll-super bowl, harbaugh-3 seasons nfc championship game, kelley-taken a medicore philly team and now top 5 in the nfc, rivera-went from usc to coordinator to coach and has carolina as a perenial conference contender). Give me jim harbaugh, give me carroll or chip kelley over bruce arian, mike smith, doug marrone, trestman, marvin lewis, mike pettine, jason garrett, john fox, caldwell, Bill o brien, chuck pagano, gus bradley, andy reid, joe philbin, mike zimmer, coughlin, rex ryan, dennis allen, mccoy, jeff fisher, lovie smithm ken whisenhunt annnnnnnnnnnnnndd jay gruden. The only coaches that are proven that I would consider elite are belichick, sean payton, tomlin, and john harbaugh. Boom.
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I don't know what to make of this, exactly, but it is definitely interesting. Not entirely universal--look at poor Tampa Bay, which had the lovely Greg Schiano incident before sticking Jeff Tedford at OC, which isn't going well--but it does seem like head coaches from the college ranks are having more success than they used to. I remember thinking a few times over the last few years that the moves you mention weren't good ideas, but obviously I was wrong. I do love the diversified schemes, and I think once they get into place, opponents have to adjust by hiring guys with experience playing against all kinds of innovative, fluid schemes, and so it becomes a bit of a cycle. Maybe that's why we've seen some older coaches--Monte Kiffin, Dom Capers--start to look outmatched so abruptly.
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